Sportradar (SRAD) Surges 3x on Volume After Wolfe's $22 Price Target
SRAD volume surged to 3.0x average after a Wolfe Research $22 price target, but a -114.7% EPS miss and an unclassified-sector 30.4x forward P/E warrant a watch-and-confirm approach.
signal:SRAD:2026-09-22 Sportradar (SRAD) Surges 3x on Volume After Wolfe’s $22 Price Target
Trading volume in Sportradar Group AG (SRAD) jumped to 3.0x its 20-day average just a day after Wolfe Research initiated coverage on September 2 with an Outperform rating and a $22 price target — roughly 60% above the current $13.60 level — putting the sports-data provider squarely on watchlists. With a forward P/E of 30.4x pricing in an earnings recovery and a broader set of consumer-discretionary names also flagging unusual activity, the combination of a fresh bullish analyst call and a sharp volume spike is the clearest signal worth tracking here, even as the company's most recent quarterly print missed estimates.
Key Facts
| Stock name | SRAD |
|---|---|
| Ticker | SRAD |
| Market | NASDAQ |
| Sector | Unclassified |
| Volume (x average) | 3.0x |
| Signal price | $13.60 |
Sportradar Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides sports data services for the sports betting and media industries across Switzerland, the United States, North America, Africa, Malta, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Its offerings span betting technology and content, real-time sports data feeds, pre-match and live odds services, streaming and betting engagement tools, iGaming products covering virtual soccer, horse and dog racing, basketball, tennis, baseball, and cricket, and managed betting and trading services. The company also supplies sports media services, including data, content, and marketing solutions for media and betting operators.
Recent Analyst Coverage
External analyst opinions (not investment advice): (2026-09-01)
| Strong Buy | 6 |
|---|---|
| Buy | 15 |
| Hold | 8 |
| Sell | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 |
Risk Factors
Sportradar's most recent quarter (ended 2026-06-30) delivered a sizable earnings miss, with actual EPS of -$0.01 versus a consensus estimate of $0.0678, a shortfall of roughly -114.7%. That miss sits awkwardly against a forward P/E of 30.4x and an EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.7x, meaning the stock is still priced for the earnings improvement analysts expect, not for repeat disappointments. The internal quality score of 0.50 (on a 0-1 scale) reflects that mixed fundamental picture rather than a clean improvement story. Because SRAD currently sits in an unclassified sector bucket in this dataset, there is no direct peer group here to benchmark valuation or momentum against, which adds interpretive risk on top of the earnings volatility. On the macro side, the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.97% (+0.26 percentage points over the past month) and the dollar index has strengthened to 100.5 (+1.6% over the same period) — both rising-rate, rising-dollar conditions that have historically pressured growth-oriented, not-yet-consistently-profitable names like this one, even with the VIX still calm at 14.2.
Recent Disclosures
No disclosures in the past 30 days.
Recent News
- 2026-09-03 The Dealmaking 3: Athletes Unlimited Retreats, NFL Kills the Pro Bowl, AI Takes Over the US Open
- 2026-09-03 6 Consumer Discretionary Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today’s Session
- 2026-09-02 Wolfe Research Initiates Coverage On Sportradar Gr with Outperform Rating, Announces Price Target of $22
Pre-Trade Checklist
| Business & competitive edge understood | ✅ Company profile summarized above |
|---|---|
| Leading sector | ⚠️ Not flagged as a leading sector |
| Good news already priced in? | ✅ 추정PER 30.4배 (실적개선 기대) |
| Stop-loss / take-profit set | ✅ Stop-loss -10% / first take-profit +20% set in advance |
| Exit plan if wrong | ✅ 10% trailing stop from peak; setup auto-invalidated on a break below key support |
Trade Levels
| Signal price | $13.60 |
|---|---|
| Stop-loss | $12.24 (-10% from signal price) |
| First take-profit | $16.32 (+20% from signal price) |
| Trailing stop | 10% from peak |
| Invalidation | Close back below key support ($12.94) |
SRAD is one to keep on the radar rather than chase immediately: the signal price sits at $13.60, with a first take-profit level at $16.32 (+20%) followed by a 10% trailing stop from any new peak, while a stop-loss at $12.24 (-10%) and an invalidation point on a close back below $12.94 define where the current setup would no longer hold. Given the fresh analyst target, the volume spike, and the still-unresolved earnings miss, this is a name to monitor for confirmation before conviction builds further.